SYSTEM RESEARCH AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES

2 - 2007

CONTENTS

Zgurovsky M.Z., Yasynsky V.V. Revealing regularities of the system world conflicts progress 7

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Automated control systems

Pavlov A.A., Lishchuk K.I., Kut V.I. Mathematical models of optimization for substantiating and finding the weights of objects in method of pair comparisons 13

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Decision making and control in economic, technical, ecological and social systems

Selin Yu.М. System analysis of ecologically dangerous processes of different nature 22

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Theoretical and applied problems of intellectual systems for decision making support

Boiko L.A., Zaichenko Yu.P. Fuzzy logic systems in tasks of expert evaluation 33

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Problem- and function-oriented computer systems and networks

Mukhin V.Ye., Volokita A.N. Algorithm for intrusion probability evaluation for safety monitoring mechanisms in computer systems 47

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Dotsenko V.A. Constructive algorithm for inverse method of sentential calculus . 59

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Methods of optimization, optimum control and theory of games

Hulianytskyi L.F., Gobov D.A. Application of the H-method to solving combinatorial optimization problems on permutations 74

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Aevskis V., Yansons  V. Stochastic modelling of interest rates of interbank lending in Latvia using local regression method 87

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Heuristic methods and algorithms in system analysis and control

Korshevniuk L.A., Bidiuk P.I. Method of -coalitions for analysis of expert estimations agreement 93

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Zgurovsky A. System analysis of recent tendencies of globalization 105

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New methods in system analysis, computer science and theory of decision making

Romanenko V.D. Prognostication and minimization of heteroscedastic processes dispersions using models with multirate discretization 115

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Tkachenko S.V. Forecasting method with determination index 131

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References 142

Information about the authors 148