Forecast and probabilistic estimations of technical object longevity

Authors

  • S. S. Fedin

Abstract

Based on the methodology of the Markov analysis, a probabilistic approach to forecast and estimation of the longevity of technical objects is offered. A mathematical model of the longevity forecast is developed with the use of statistical data characterizing the initial and final distribution of the service term of technical objects.

Author Biography

S. S. Fedin

Федін Сергій Сергійович,

кандидат технічних наук, доцент Київського національного університету технологій та дизайну, Україна, Київ

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Published

2010-06-21

Issue

No. 2 (2010)

Section

Mathematical methods, models, problems and technologies for complex systems research

License

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