Modeling the lines of the breakdown of civilizations at the beginning of the 21st century in the context of their fundamental differences
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2019.1.01Keywords:
lash of civilizations, civilizational world model, fault lines of civilizations, ethnocultural civilizational distribution, world conflicts, hypothesis testing, expert pollAbstract
The cycle of modeling of the lines of the civilization breakdown by S. Huntington, begun in 2008, continues in the context of the fundamental cultural differences of these civilizations with a time interval of 10 years. The simulation is based on the application of the quantitative and qualitative analysis of the differences between world cultures based on the modification of S. Huntington’s approach. Using the data of distances clustering, quantitative figures of the existing break lines between the civilizations as well as their cumulative differences, we obtain the possibility to forecast the potential mergers and conflicts between the world cultures. The obtained data of the comparative analysis of the present study with the research results of the year 2008 can serve as a scientifically grounded basis for further studying the issues of predicting the creation of unions and alliances in the world, as well as while modeling the behavior and development of individual countries in the world.References
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