Modified SEIRD model for describing the COVID-19 epidemic

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2023.1.04

Keywords:

epidemiology, epidemiological models, modified mathematical models, COVID-19 modeling SEIR, SEIRD model, unvaccinated people, virus, division of the population, new strains

Abstract

This article is devoted to mathematical models in epidemiology, in particular SIR, SEIR, and SEIRD models. It explores the importance of these models in predicting the spread of infectious diseases and evaluating the effectiveness of control measures. These models allow for assessing important epidemic parameters such as the speed of infection transmission, the number of people infected, and the number of deaths. This data can help in making decisions regarding the imposition and lifting of quarantine restrictions, opening and closing of schools and other institutions, as well as in developing vaccination strategies and other control measures. In summary, mathematical models such as SIR, SEIR, and SEIRD are important tools in the fight against epidemics. They enable epidemiologists and medical professionals to predict and control the spread of diseases, thus preserving the health and lives of people.

Author Biographies

Anastasiia Klymenko, National Commission for State Regulation of Energy and Public Utilities, Kyiv

Employee of the National Commission for State Regulation of Energy and Public Utilities, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Gleb Podkolzin, Educational and Scientific Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute", Kyiv

Candidate of Physical and Mathematical Sciences (Ph.D.), an associate professor at the Department of Mathematical Methods of System Analysis of Educational and Scientific Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine "Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute", Kyiv, Ukraine.

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Published

2023-03-30

Issue

Section

Theoretical and applied problems of intelligent systems for decision making support