Multi-factor forecasting of statistical trends for data science problems
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2024.2.02Keywords:
Data Science, multi-factor forecasting, statistical trends, currency rate forecastingAbstract
The article deals with the processes of multi-factor forecasting of statistical trends for Data Science problems. Most of the classic approaches to data processing consist of studying the consequences of phenomena rather than the factors of their appearance. At the same time, the factors affecting the behavior of the investigated process are assumed to be random and are not investigated. The article discusses the approach to forecasting the parameters of the trend of statistical time series, which consists of the study of factors that lead to changes in the dynamics of the studied process. This approach potentially has better indicators of adequacy, accuracy, and efficiency in obtaining final solutions than classical approaches. The implementation of this approach is shown using an example of the analysis of exchange rate changes. The obtained results show the practicality of considering multi-factoriality in forecasting tasks.
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