Analysis and forecasting of the financial benefit for the tennis match outcomes by machine learning methods

Authors

  • Kyryl Shum Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0009-0009-7503-3249
  • Nataliia Kuznietsova Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1662-1974

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20535/SRIT.2308-8893.2025.3.07

Keywords:

forecasting, machine learning, betting strategies, financial benefit

Abstract

Tennis is one of the most popular sports in the world, attracting considerable attention from casual fans and professional analysts. The application of machine learning methods enables the accurate prediction of match results, opening up opportunities for profit through betting on likely winners. This study evaluates the financial benefits of predicting tennis match outcomes by identifying an effective sports betting strategy. The study examines various machine learning methods and auxiliary algorithms, comparing them to select the best betting strategy for maximizing the user’s potential profit. In the paper, the method and algorithm for determining effective sports betting strategies were developed. This algorithm and method were tested on tennis game datasets (for both women and men), and the best tennis betting strategy was identified. As part of the study, a software product has been developed to predict the outcomes of tennis matches.

Author Biographies

Kyryl Shum, Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv

Master of Science, Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine.

Nataliia Kuznietsova, Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv

Associate Professor, Doctor of Technical Sciences, a professor at the Department of Mathematical Methods of System Analysis of Educational and Research Institute for Applied System Analysis of the National Technical University of Ukraine “Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute”, Kyiv, Ukraine.

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Published

2025-09-29

Issue

Section

Decision making and control in economic, technical, ecological and social systems